Some leadership observations from our election debacle
I’m someone who firmly believes in the important of leadership in almost every sphere of life, and so I tend to pay a lot of attention to leaders and leadership in all sorts of places. I’ve been watching our recent election and its fall-out with a great deal of interest, and I think there’s a lot to be gleaned from what has been happening in the last week.
My first observation is that Julian Gillard looks and sounds like someone desperate to stay in her job, and even if she manages to somehow cobble together a minority government, I don’t think it will work out. Her desperation to stay in the job can only lead her to make some compromises she will regret later. I’m sure there will be others who see it differently, but Labor is suddenly talking about all kinds of things they were definitely not thinking about before the election, stuff which smells like expediency and whatever-it-takes to stay in power.
My second observation is that Tony Abbott has, in contrast, seemed at ease and not desperate at all to do whatever deal will get him the top job. I think this has been very smart, and in the long run he will prevail, in my view. It may take several months and an inevitable re-run election, but I think he will end up leading the country. If he does pull together a minority government , I think it’s going to be on very different terms to Gillard, and I think it would have more hope of succeeding. But, there is no doubt in my mind that a Gillard minority government will fail, based on the way they are going all out to court the Independents. Abbott has seemed calm and collected, and has portrayed a principled sort of air in the mad scramble, and I think it will pay off for him.
My third observation is that the Independents have screwed themselves over by having no strategic view at all of their potential influence in the Australian political process. Instead, from a public perspective, they have quickly shifted to looking like a bunch hucksters cashing in on an accidental bit of power they have, and they look anything but principled as the week has progressed. I think there is very little chance that whatever deal they strike with Labor would end up being stable and effective because it’s going to be built off Labor just trying to get back in whatever it takes, and as soon as possible Labor will shaft them because nobody likes to be shoved into a corner. The Independents could have actually spoken of some really big picture things they wanted changed in the political process, but instead they have quickly sunk to looking very political and the essence of the very problems our system has.
I’m sure others will have differing views, but this is what I’ve been noticing. It’s frustrating to watch, and demonstrates afresh how rare great leadership really is.